The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam - A Water Diplomacy Challenge

Author(s): 
Publication Date: 
2025
Pages: 
5
Item Reference: 
IB-2025-08
Publication Place: 
Bruges
Publication Language: 
EN
Policy Brief Type: 
Abstract: 
  • Egypt and Sudan’s dominance over Nile waters stems from exclusionary colonial-era treaties, which Ethiopia seeks to challenge with GERD.
  • Conflicts over the dam’s filling rate, water releases, and lack of a binding resolution mechanism remain unresolved.
  • Ethiopia sees GERD as a national milestone, while Egypt views it as an existential threat, fuelling geopolitical strains.
  • The dam boosts Ethiopia’s energy independence but raises concerns about water shortages and ecosystem disruption.
  • Despite a 2024 pledge for an agreement, no binding deal exists, keeping the risk of conflict high.