Biographical Statement 

Professor Kugler is the Elisabeth Helm Rosecrans Professor of International Relations and Political Economy in the Department of Politics and Policy, School of Politics and Economics. Professor Kugler's through his extensive publications on the causes and consequences of war has forged a reputation for innovative formal modeling and empirical analysis. He lectures and advises audiences worldwide on strategy and politics.

His theory of Power Transitions explained the peaceful relations among major powers during the cold war, anticipated stability following the collapse of the Soviet Empire and forecasted the Asian challenge. His work on political demography discovered the important role played by political factors to control fertility accounting for the unexpected decline in China's population. His formal work on policy development expands our understanding of growth patterns in developing societies. His formal work on decision making anticipate the outcome of complex negotiations and provides systematic aid in day-to-day bargaining. He is now exploring the evolution and consequences of the Arab Spring. His path braking work on political performance provides a comprehensive yardstick to assess the capacity of governments to implement goals.

He served as the Co-Editor of International Interactions, as President of International Studies Association and as President of the Peace Science Society. Prior to his CGU chair, he was a faculty member at Vanderbilt and Boston Universities, Research Scholar at the Center for International Affairs at Harvard University, Project co-Director at the Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan and Visiting Professor at UCLA. He cofounded Sentia Group Inc. that is dedicated to the formal study of decision making. He consults with UNAIDS, IMF, State Department, a number of U.S governmental agencies and private businesses. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Michigan following an M.A. and B.A. in Political Science from UCLA.